Food Supply Chain “Strong” But Questions Remain

Washington State Governor Jay Inslee declared a statewide shutdown of restaurants and other public spaces back on March 15th, assuring Washingtonians that the supply chain was strong, hoping to alleviate fears and hoarding by consumers. And while grocery stores have remained open, albeit with sparsely stocked hand soap and toilet paper shelves, an NPR article released a few days later raised questions about the trying times about to strike those in a different—yet equally vital—part of the supply chain: agricultural workers.

Workers in Wapato, WA. Photo Credit: Elaine Thompson/AP

The good news is that most seasonal workers coming from Mexico will still qualify for their H-2A visas. The bad news is that these people will be traveling far and wide, often living in close proximity to one another once they reach their employer’s fields, meaning exposure to COVID-19 is a strong possibility. While distributors and farmers deal with the logistical and financial strain of re-routing products from shuttered restaurants, the last thing they need is a labor shortage.

So what can be done? Greater government involvement in clean and safe housing for workers? Incentives for workers exposing themselves in travelling long distances across borders and state lines, like short-term medical benefits, or insurance, for seasonal workers, to protect them if they fall ill? And what of farms that will be closing from decline in business?

A chain is only as strong as its weakest link. COVID-19 has put our healthcare system in crisis. No matter your politics, it is clear our systems simply aren’t geared for dealing with a calamity. In the age of the Anthropocene it hardly seems this current health crisis will be the end of hard-times. If we don’t prepare now, addressing weaknesses in our systems, the next crisis we face could mean not just soap and paper products disappear from store shelves.

Food Waste amid Covid-19 Pandemic

The new coronavirus has posted a variety of problems on our food system and ecology. One thing I concern the most is the increasing food waste these days.

Due to the newly carried-out policy that requires people to stay at home except for necessary activities, they are moving from eating out to cook more at home. Also, restaurants and shops are shutting down in response to the spread of the coronavirus. These shifts lead to less market demand for food resources. It’s reported that farm growers leave almost half of the crops in the field and are facing exacerbating supply bulge because the demand for their products decreases abruptly.

Thinking about the deep interdependence in our systems and its nonlinearity, we can see the non-predictable effects of the change of one factor on another. The shift in eating patterns drastically decreases the demand for farm products which increases farm waste as well as household food waste. As people turn to take-out and delivery, we also witness an increase in waste through packaging.  But despite these adverse impacts of the Covid-19 and the “stay-at-home” policy, it also significantly reduces greenhouse gas emissions and air pollution. Because of the travel ban and disallowed unnecessary going-out, the use of private cars, public transportation, and even planes has been greatly limited, resulting in a temporary environmentally friendly lifestyle.

From my perspective, to minimize the negative impacts of coronavirus, firstly government and relevant agencies should find a way to manage the food surplus and food waste. It can be donations to poor and food-insecure regions. Also, individuals should not buy an excessive amount of food and ask for paper bags instead of plastic bags for take-out and delivery.

Can Earth Provide for Growing Consumption Rates?

A recent study by the University of Gottingen forecasts that global food consumption could rise by 80% by 2100. They suggest that 60% would be from population growth and 20% from the increased quantity of food required by larger (in terms of BMI and height) humans.

Yes, this does sound quite alarming…however, the statistic is based on the assumption that the world will continue until 2100 without changing its ways at all. I find this highly improbable given that the human behavior constantly evolves and adapts. There are already many working to combat issues of food insecurity, food waste, and malnutrition. 

Currently, the UN Food and Agricultural Organization reports that every year, around 30% of food produced in the world is lost or wasted. How many additional people could we feed on this wasted food alone? Also, there are many movements advocating for reduced animal product consumption. Bloomberg reports that around 41% of US land is used for livestock production. Take a look at these maps; imagine if there was an initiative to shift the subsidization of animals, corn, soy, and wheat to whole grains, produce, and legumes. This alone could sustain our population for longer and promote healthier diets.

https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2018-us-land-use/

The US is unique in its high demand for animal products. What would the future of feeding a larger population look like if human health was promoted by governments through proper subsidies, and if sustainable farming and waste management was a major priority for state legislatures and governments worldwide? Would this prediction of future consumption be as extreme?

I don’t have all the answers, but I know that we all must fight for a more sustainable future that prioritizes systematic changes.

Consider finding out how you can get involved in local initiatives. Big changes begin with little steps. 

 

 

Sources:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/science/food-shortages-supply-global-population-bmi-taller-height-a9239686.html 

https://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/features/2014/10/thirty-percent-world-food-wasted-2014103192739208584.html

https://www.arespectfullife.com/2018/08/05/41-of-u-s-land-is-used-for-livestock-production/